Simplifying the Market

by Sharon D. Cowie

Recent headlines have been buzzing about the median asking price of homes dropping compared to last year, and that's sparked plenty of confusion.

Recent headlines have been buzzing about the median asking price of homes dropping compared to last year, and that's sparked plenty of confusion. And as a buyer or seller, it's easy to assume that means prices are coming down. But here's the catch: those numbers don't tell the full story.

Nationally, home values are actually rising, even if the median price is down a bit. Let's break down what's really happening so you can make sense of the market without getting caught up in the fear the headlines create.

Homes on the Market Right Now Are Smaller

The biggest reason for the dip in median price is the size of homes being sold. The median price reflects the middle point of all the homes for sale at any given time. And that'll be affected by the mix of homes on the market.

To show you how this works, here's a simple explanation of a median (see visual below). Let's say you have three coins in your pocket, and you decide to line them up according to their value from low to high. If you have one nickel and two dimes, the median (the middle one) is 10 cents. If you have two nickels and one dime, the median is now five cents.

No Caption ReceivedIn both cases, a nickel is still worth five cents and a dime is still worth 10 cents. The value of each coin didn't change. The same is true for housing.

Right now, there's a greater number of smaller, less expensive homes on the market, and that's bringing the overall median price down. But that doesn't mean home values are declining.

As Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

The share of inventory of smaller and more affordable homes has grown, which helps hold down the median price even as per-square-foot prices grow further.

And here's the data to prove it. 

Price Per Square Foot Is Still Rising

One of the best ways to measure home values is by looking at the price per square foot. That's because it shows how much you're paying for the space inside the home.

The median asking price doesn't take into account the size of different homes, so it may not always reflect the true value. And the latest national price per square foot data shows home values are still increasing, even though the median asking price has dropped (see graph below).

No Caption ReceivedAs Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

When a change in the mix of inventory toward smaller homes is accounted for, the typical home listed this year has increased in asking price compared with last year.

This means that while smaller homes are affecting the median price, the average home's value is still rising. According to the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA):

Nationally, the U.S. housing market has experienced positive annual appreciation each quarter since the start of 2012.

So, while headlines may make it sound like prices are crashing, you don't have to worry. With a closer look and more reliable data, you can see that prices are still climbing nationally.

But it's important to remember that home prices can vary by region. While national trends provide a big-picture view, local markets may be experiencing different conditions. A trusted agent is the best resource to explain what's happening in your area.

Bottom Line

The decrease in median price is not the same as a decrease in home values. The median asking price is down mostly due to the mix of smaller, less expensive homes on the market.

The important thing to focus on is the price per square foot, which is a better indicator of overall market value and those prices are still going up. If you have questions about what home prices are doing in your area, reach out to a local real estate agent who can provide insights on your specific market.

Seeing your house sit on the market without any bites is the ultimate frustration. And unfortunately, some sellers are in that tricky spot today.

According to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the average time a house spends on the market has increased over the past few years (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedA recent post from Realtor.com notes a similar trend:

During the week ending Sept. 14, homes stayed on the market eight days longer compared to last year. With more choices available and mortgage rates expected to fall, buyers are taking their time, which means sellers will need to be patient and flexible.

Some of that is because inventory has gone up, so buyers have more options. And higher mortgage rates have definitely slowed demand over the past two years, and that's out of your control. But here's the secret. There's something you can control it's also where those other sellers missed the mark. They didn't work with the right agent.

Make no mistake, with the right strategy and agent partner, your house can still sell quickly, even today.

If time matters to you, you need to partner with an agent who understands this shifting market. That agent will be your go-to resource on what buyers are looking for right now, and how to position your home to hit the mark.

Here are just a few tips a great real estate agent will walk you through. They may seem simple, but advice like this can make all the difference.

1. Competitive Pricing: One of the most critical factors in selling your home quickly is setting the right price. A local real estate agent will do a competitive market analysis by reviewing recent sales and current listings for your area. Then, they'll use that data to make sure your home is priced accurately for today's market. This strategic pricing approach is the best way to make sure you're hitting the sweet spot on price. If you don't lean on an agent for this, it can really slow your process down. As U.S. News says:

. . . setting an unrealistically high price with the idea that you can come down later doesn't work in real estate . . . A home that's overpriced in the beginning tends to stay on the market longer, even after the price is cut, because buyers think there must be something wrong with it.

2. The Home's Condition: Homes that are well maintained, have great curb appeal, and are updated with modern finishes tend to sell faster. So, if speed is a priority, make sure your house makes a great first impression. An agent is a key resource on what buyers will be looking for, if staging is worthwhile, and what repairs you need to tackle before you list. Ramsey Solutions offers this advice:

In the spirit of selling your home fast, take care of things now that will be a problem in the closing process. Talk to your agent about fixes you'll need to make to pass the home inspection, like: plumbing problems, roof damage, electrical issues, HVAC glitches. . . These are issues you'll be expected to take care of before any buyers close on your house you might as well get ahead of the game to help your home sell faster.

3. Incentives and Extras: If you want to stand out from those other homes on the market, offering incentives or concessions, like help with closing costs, a home warranty, or including additional items (like appliances or furniture) with the sale can sweeten the deal for buyers. A real estate agent can suggest the right incentives to offer based on current market conditions and buyer expectations, so you can close the sale even faster.

Bottom Line

Selling a home quickly in a shifting market requires a strategic approach and an in-depth understanding of what buyers want. That's why partnering with a local real estate agent is so important. As Forbes says:

When time is of the essence, you can't afford to take a chance on an inexperienced housing professional. Instead, you'll want to work with a real estate agent who knows your market and has helped sellers in your situation before.

Connect with an agent to make sure you're set up for success.

After months of sitting on the sidelines, many homebuyers who were priced out by high mortgage rates and affordability challenges finally have an opportunity to make their move. With rates trending down, today's market is a sweet spot for buyers—and it's one that may not last long.

So, if you've put your own move on the back burner, here's why maybe you shouldn't delay your plans any longer.

As you weigh your options and decide if you should buy now or wait, ask yourself this: What do you think everyone else is going to do?

The truth is, if mortgage rates continue to ease, as experts project, more buyers will jump back into the market. A survey from Bankrate shows over half of homeowners would be motivated to buy this year if rates drop below 6% (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedWith rates already in the low 6% range, we're not terribly far off from hitting that threshold. The bottom line is, that when they drop into the 5s, the number of buyers in the market is going to go up and that means more competition for you.

That increased demand will likely push home prices up, which could potentially take away from some of the benefits you'd gain from a slightly lower interest rate. As Nadia Evangelou, Senior Economist and Director of Real Estate Research at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

The downside of increased demand is that it puts upward pressure on home prices as multiple buyers compete for a limited number of homes. In markets with ongoing housing shortages, this price increase can offset some of the affordability gains from lower mortgage rates.

So, while waiting to buy may seem like a smart move, it could backfire if rising prices outpace your savings from slightly lower rates.

What This Means for You

Right now, you've got the chance to get ahead of all of that. Today's market is a buyer sweet spot. Why? Because a lot of other buyers are waiting which means not as many people are actively looking for homes. That means less competition for you.

At the same time, affordability has already improved quite a bit. Recent easing in mortgage rates has made homeownership more accessible. As Mike Simonsen, Founder of Altos Research, says:

Mortgage payments on the typical-price home are 7% lower than last year and are 13% lower than the peak in May 2024.

And while the supply of homes for sale is still low, it's also higher than it's been in years. According to Ralph McLaughlin, Senior Economist at Realtor.com:

The number of homes actively for sale continues to be elevated compared with last year, growing by 35.8%, a 10th straight month of growth, and now sits at the highest since May 2020.

This means you now have more options to choose from than you've had in quite a while.

With fewer buyers in the market, improving affordability, and more homes to choose from, you have the chance to find the right one before the competition heats up.

Why Waiting Could Cost You

If you're waiting for the perfect time to buy, it's important to understand that timing the market is nearly impossible. The longer you wait, the higher the risk that market conditions will shift and not necessarily in your favor. As Greg McBride, Chief Financial Analyst at Bankrate, says:

It's one of those things where you should be careful what you wish for. A further drop in mortgage rates could bring a surge of demand that makes it tougher to actually buy a house.

Bottom Line

Don't wait until you have to deal with more competition and higher prices you already have the chance to buy a home while we're in the sweet spot today. Connect with an agent to make sure you're taking advantage of it.

That's right according to a recent study from Zillow, in 22 of the 50 largest metro areas, monthly mortgage payments are now lower than rent payments (see chart below):

No Caption ReceivedAs mortgage rates have eased off their recent peak, home prices have moderated, and inventory has ticked up, affordability has improved significantly. When you add all of that up, it's getting less expensive to buy a home than to rent one in many parts of the country.

This is a big deal if you've been renting for a while now. But if you don't see your city on this list, don't sweat it. Things are moving fast, and your area might be joining these top metros soon.

You see, talking with a local real estate agent about what's happening in your market before this happens in your ideal neighborhood could really change the game for you. It's all about being informed by a true expert, and understanding what was out of reach before might actually be getting more affordable than you think. 

Now, while this study compares monthly rent to principal and interest on a mortgage payment (not the whole monthly payment), let's think through this. As Zillow notes, what you can't ignore when you buy a home are things like taxes, insurance, utilities, and maintenance that should also be factored into your budget and your monthly payment.

But remember renters pay extra fees too, like renters' insurance, utilities, parking, and more. And while doing the math may feel like a drag, this equation could be a much more exciting one to work through today.

So, grab your calculator and your agent because the big takeaway is this: it may be time to determine if you're in a spot to afford what you couldn't just a few months ago.

As Orphe Divounguy, Senior Economist at Zillow, says:

for those who can make it work, homeownership may come with lower monthly costs and the ability to build long-term wealth in the form of home equity  something you lose out on as a renter. With mortgage rates dropping, it's a great time to see how your affordability has changed and if it makes more sense to buy than rent.

Whether you live in one of these budget-friendly metros where the scales have already tipped in your favor, or any town in-between, it's time to connect with a local real estate agent to get the conversation started.

With mortgage rates coming down and more homes hitting the market, you'll want to be ready to jump back into your search before everyone else does.

Bottom Line

If you're tired of renting and ready to find out what it takes to purchase a home in your area now that the landscape may be shifting, connect with a local real estate agent to do the math and see if buying a home makes sense for you now or sometime soon. 

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Some Highlights

  • If you're wondering if you should buy now or wait, here's what you need to know.
  • If you wait for rates to drop more, you'll have to deal with more competition and higher prices as additional buyers jump back in. But if you buy now, you'd get ahead of that and have the chance to start building equity.
  • Should you buy now or wait? Connect with a real estate agent and talk through it together, so you can make your best decision.

When it's time to buy or sell a home, one of the most important decisions you'll make is who you'll work with as your agent. That choice will have an impact on your entire experience and how smoothly it goes.

As you figure out who you'll partner with, it's important to know what to expect and what to look for. Unfortunately, there may be some myths holding you back from making the best decision possible. So, let's take some time to address those, and make sure you have the information you need to find the right agent for you.

Myth #1: All Real Estate Agents Are the Same

You might think all agents are the same so it doesn't matter who you work with. But, in reality, agents have varying levels of experience, specialties, and market knowledge, which can have a big impact on your results. For example: you'll get much better service and advice from someone who is a true expert in their field. As Business Insider explains:

If you were planning to get your hair done for a special event, you'd want to visit a stylist who specifically has experience doing that type of work you wouldn't make an appointment with someone who primarily does kids' hair. The same concept applies to finding a real estate agent. If you have a smaller budget, you probably don't want to work with an agent who exclusively sells multimillion-dollar properties.

Take some time to talk with each agent you're considering. Ask about their experience level and what they specialize in. This will help you find the one that's the best fit for your search.

Myth #2: You Can Save Money by Not Using an Agent

As a seller, you may think you can save money by not working with a pro. However, the expertise, negotiation skills, and market knowledge an agent provides generally saves you money and helps you avoid making costly mistakes. Without that guidance, you could find yourself doing something like overpricing your house. And that's a misstep that'll cost you when it sits on the market for far too long. That's why U.S. News Real Estate says:

When it comes to buying or selling your home, hiring a professional to guide you through the process can save you money and headaches. It pays to have someone on your side who's well-versed in the nuances of the market and can help ensure you get the best possible deal.

Myth #3: Agents Will Push You To Spend More

You may also be worried an agent will push you to buy a more expensive house in order to increase their commission. But that's not how that should go. A good agent will respect your budget and work hard to find a home that truly fits your financial situation and needs. With their market know-how, they'll point you toward the best option for you, rather than try to pad their own pockets on your dime. As NerdWallet explains:

Among other things, a good buyer's agent will find homes for sale. A buyer's agent will help you understand the type of home you can afford in the current market, find listed homes that match your needs and price range, and then help you narrow the options to the properties worth considering.

Myth #4: Market Conditions Are the Same Everywhere, So Why Do I Need a Pro?

Maybe you believe housing market conditions are the same no matter where you are. But that couldn't be further from the truth. Real estate markets are highly localized, and conditions can vary widely from one area to another. This is why you can't pick just anyone you find online. You should choose an agent who's an expert on your specific local market. As a recent article from Bankrate says:

Real estate is very localized, and you want someone who's extremely knowledgeable about the market in your specific area.

You'll know you've found the right person when they can explain the national trends and how your area stacks up too. That way you're guaranteed to get the full picture when you ask: how's the market?

Bottom Line

Don't let myths keep you from the expert guidance you deserve. With market knowledge and top resources, a trusted local real estate agent isn't just helpful, they're invaluable.

In what could be one of the biggest financial decisions of your life, having the right pro by your side is a game changer. Connect with an agent to make sure you get the best outcome possible.

Should you buy a home now or should you wait? That's a question a lot of people have these days. And while what's right for you is going to depend on a lot of different factors, here's something you'll want to consider as you make your decision.

As soon as you buy, you'll start gaining equity. And you'd be surprised how quickly that can add up even with more moderate home price appreciation.

Each quarter, Fannie Mae releases the Home Price Expectations Survey. It asks over one hundred economists, real estate experts, and investment and market strategists what they forecast for home prices over the next five years. In the latest release, experts project prices will continue to rise nationally through at least 2028 (see the graph below):

No Caption ReceivedWhile home prices are going to vary from one local area to the next, this shows they're expected to keep going up nationally. The size of the increase varies from year-to-year, but the important takeaway is that prices are forecast to rise every single year just at a moderate pace.

And while rising home prices may not sound great right now, once you own a home, that growth will be a big bonus for you. Here's a look at what you stand to gain equity-wise once you buy. The graph below uses a typical home's value and those HPES projections to show how much equity is at stake:

No Caption ReceivedIf you bought a $450,000 home at the beginning of this year, based on that starting value and the expert forecasts from the HPES, you could gain more than $90,000 in household wealth over the next five years. That's significant.

So, if you're ready and able to buy, and growing your wealth is important to you, you've got an opportunity in front of you. And now that mortgage rates have fallen, it may be time to consider making a move.

To talk more about your options and what makes sense, lean on a pro. They'll be able to tell you what home prices are doing in your area and what that means for your move (and your future equity). The Mortgage Reports says:

Given the intricacies of the current market, it's more important than ever to stay informed and up to date about housing market conditions. Whether you're looking to buy or sell in the remaining months of 2024, having a professional guide you through the process can make all the difference

Bottom Line

The decision to buy now or wait is a very personal one, but it's valuable to have an expert's perspective. They won't push you, but they will explain things you may not have considered, like the equity that's at stake.

If you want help weighing your options and thinking through how the current market factors in, connect with a local real estate agent.

Believe it or not, almost 80% of first-time homebuyers qualify for down payment assistance, but only 13% actually use it. And if you're hoping to buy a home, this is a mission-critical gap to close fast (see graph below):

No Caption ReceivedHere's what you need to know to make the most of your down payment in today's housing market.

Amplify Your Down Payment Potential

For first-time buyers, the name of the game with down payments is making sure you're taking advantage of all the resources out there designed to help you. And a bunch of them can get you to your goal faster than you may have thought possible.

For example, there are loan options that require as little as 3% down, or even 0% for certain qualified borrowers, like Veterans. And let's not forget down payment assistance, like grants and other opportunities, that help you cover the upfront cost of your down payment.

If you're interested in exploring those options and what you may be able to use to your advantage, connect with a trusted lender. Because if you don't at least see what's available, you could be leaving money on the table and missing your chance at buying a home. These resources can boost your down payment. And a higher down payment could help lower your eventual monthly mortgage payment, and even avoid or reduce your fees like private mortgage insurance.

Don't Let News Headlines About Down Payments Scare You

There's one more thing to address. News coverage has been talking about how the typical down payment is rising. A report from Redfin states:

The typical down payment for U.S. homebuyers hit a record high of $67,500 in June, up 14.8% from $58,788 a year earlier . . . This was the 12th consecutive month the median down payment rose year over year.

But don't let those high dollars scare you. Just because the average down payment is rising doesn't mean down payment requirements are going up. That's a key piece of the puzzle to understand. It's really just because people are choosing to put more down to try to offset higher mortgage rates, and current homeowners who are putting their equity to work are using that to increase their down payment on their next home. As HousingWire explains:

. . . buyers are putting down a higher percentage of the purchase price to lower their monthly mortgage payment. And buyers also had more equity from their home sales, which gives them more cushion.

Let's break those two reasons down a bit:

1. A bigger down payment helps lower your monthly mortgage payment. Affordability has been a challenge for many buyers recently, which is why those who have the ability to make a bigger down payment are going to do so in an effort to lower their future housing costs.

2. Buyers who already own a home have a record amount of equity to leverage. Someone who bought a home a few years ago has gained a significant amount of value in their house, thanks to home price appreciation. These people can put down much more than the average first-time buyer who hasn't owned a home yet.

Bottom Line

What's the best thing to do? Talk with a trusted lender about your options. They'll help you figure out where you stand today and how to access the resources you may qualify for. Because help is out there, you just need to work with a pro to take advantage of it.

Every seller wants to get their house sold quickly, for as much money as they can, with as few headaches as possible. And chances are, you're no different.

But did you know one of the biggest things that could jeopardize your success is the asking price for your home? Pricing your house correctly is one of the most crucial steps in the selling process.

So, how do you know if you're missing the mark? Here are four signs your high asking price might be turning potential buyers away and why leaning on your real estate agent is the best way to course correct.

1. You're Not Getting Many Showings or Offers

One of the most obvious signs your house may be overpriced is a lack of showings. If it's been on the market for several weeks and only a few buyers have come to see it or worse, you haven't gotten any offers it could be a clear indication the price isn't matching up with what buyers expect. Because buyers who have been looking for a while can easily spot (and write off) a home that seems overpriced.

Your real estate agent will coach you through this, so lean on their experience for what you may want to try to bring more buyers in, including considering a price cut.

2. Buyers Have Consistent Negative Feedback after Showings

And if after the showings you do have, comments from the potential buyers aren't great, you may need to course correct. Feedback from showings is an important part of understanding how buyers see your house. If they consistently say it's overpriced compared to other homes they've seen, it's time to reconsider your pricing strategy.

Your agent will gather and analyze this feedback for you, so you can look at how your house stacks up in the market. They can also suggest specific improvements or staging changes to better justify your asking price, or recommend one that aligns with today's buyer expectations. As the National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:

Based on all the data gathered, agents may make adjustments to the initial price recommendation. This could involve adjusting for market conditions, property uniqueness, or other factors that may impact the property's value.

3. It's Been on the Market for Too Long

And that lack of interest is ultimately going to lead to it sitting on the market without any serious bites. The longer it lingers, the more likely it is to raise red flags for buyers, who may wonder if something is wrong with it. Especially in today's market with growing inventory, a long listing period means your house is stale and that makes it even harder to sell.

Your real estate agent will be able to give you perspective on how quickly other homes in your area are selling and walk you through what's working for other sellers. That way you can decide together if there's something you want to do differently. As a Bankrate article says:

Check with your agent about the average number of days homes spend on the market in your area. If your listing has been up significantly longer than average, that may be a sign to reduce the price.

4. Your Neighbor's House Sold Without an Issue

And here's the last one to watch out for. If similar homes in your area are selling faster than yours, it's a clear sign that something is off. This could be due to things like a lack of upgrades, outdated features, or a less desirable location. Or, it may be priced too high.

Your agent will keep you up to date on your competition and what changes, if any, you need to make your home more competitive. They'll offer advice on small updates that could increase your home's appeal or how to adjust your strategy to reflect the reality of the market today.

Bottom Line

Pricing a home correctly is both an art and a science. It requires a deep understanding of the market and buyer psychology. And when the price isn't drawing in buyers, there's no better resource than your agent on what you may want to do next. 

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Some Highlights

  • Mortgage rates are trending down and that's great news for your bottom line.
  • As rates drop, your monthly payment on your next home does too. Even a small change in mortgage rates can have a big impact on your purchasing power.
  • If you put your search on hold when mortgage rates were higher, think about how much you could save now that rates are coming down.

 

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